Well I did an impact analysis with our office cleaners the day after the referendum – here is how it went;
They were talking about how they were glad their Brexit Leave votes had won.
Me: so you voted leave?
Me: had you thought about how that might pan out in the longer term?
Them: How do you mean?
Me: Well our company imports products to Europe from our manufacturing throughout the East and sells (amongst other places) into Europe. WE can bring these products into UK or Spain offices and sell on, yes?
Me: And if the UK is outside Europe and in the future has to a) complete extra papers to export to Europe, or b) can no longer fly goods to Europe truck to UK for cheaper non-urgent freight without more paperwork this will put up the cost of our freight forwarders and therefore our costs to our company to come through UK to Europe. The UK becomes more expensive to use as a European hub, yes?
Them: OK, we get that.
Me: So if it becomes more expensive to ship through UK do you think we might choose to ship through Spain where this extra cost burden would not exist – that would save the company the extra cost.
Them: Yes, makes sense.
Me: So can you see that row of desks over there?
Me: And that clump of desks there?
Me: Well those are the people that do all of the international incoming and outgoing trade/freight/sales with Europe and the second group do all of the financials for that trade.
Me: If we don’t do that work in the UK we won’t need people sat at those desks then we certainly wouldn’t want to pay to have empty desks cleaned so we’ll be cutting down on what we pay to our cleaners, oh, that would be you.
Them: Hmmm. Aahhhh. Never really thought about it like that.
Me: There is also a little extra. If those people are now unemployed, they’re not paying tax into the pot in fact they are pulling out of the pot so you will have to pay extra tax on your earnings just to maintain the status quo and keep the NHS just as it is.
Them: Hmmm. Ooops