What's you thoughts about the recent negotiations between Cameron and Donald Tusk on the now draft proposals for UKs relationship with the EU?
My thoughts are that even if the other member states agree this package, I'm not convinced that the deal will go far enough for the sceptical members of the UK public to vote for the UK to remain in the EU. The latest poll conducted by The Times for the first time even indicates this:
Of course, it's still early days and we first need to see how the EU negotiations conclude with the other member states, but for the first time I'm beginning to sense that there could really be a UK exit from the EU. Cameron's proposals don't go far enough for the anti-EU crowd, and the proposals are already being pulled apart by the press. At the same time, they could be watered-down by other EU members - which makes it even more of a farce..And with nearly every popular Newspaper blurting out their Anti-EU rhetoric, and sadly many UK citizens heavily being influenced by these articles, it's not looking good....
If the UK really votes to exit, it's going to make it interesting for us living in France (which I'm hope there will be replacement Treaties between UK and France to protect each others citizens social protection, pensions, etc) but what I'm more concerned about is the impact on the UK as a single nation.
For example, if Scotland as a whole votes to stay in the EU then this will rightly give the SNP more of a case for another Independence referendum for Scotland. If this happened, and Independence is voted for, then Cameron could go down in history for being the PLM who lost the UK (all for trying to prevent a split in the Conservative party by having this referendum...)
It's going to be an interesting few months... I just hope that the UK sees sense and votes to stay in the EU... The EU does need to evolve, but it would be much better for all if the UK remains within and helps with this effort..)