That’s an advertorial for China, “China wants to resolve disputes peacefully” , not serious comment IMO Porridge. It doesn’t actually say Russia will “loose” either, it says stalemate. Which is probably true. So we spend billions propping up Ukraine in a no win war while China, a much more serious enemy than Russia IMO, is free to plot and manoeuvre.
The bottom line for me is our leaders haven’t a clue what’s going on, and haven’t for decades.
You may have a point regarding the eastern territories which were in revolt before the invasion, and the Crimea which was not Ukrainian at all before Kruschev (who was part Ukrainian or related) gave it away.
But at the very least any agreement should be on the basis of free referendums in those territories with international supervision and guaranteed NATO membership for the remainder. Can’t see the Russians agreeing to that without being convinced of the impossibility of complete victory, but it is absolutely necessary to protect Ukraine from later Russian adventures. Their word is not enough, only a strong NATO will deter them.
The main problem is that Putin does not seem very bright. With such a mighty empire, territory wise, he had no need to attack Ukraine and the very thing he feared, and sought to avoid, expansion of NATO, has come about solely because of his stupidity.
The case for talking though is exampled by the gallant Finns in 1939 after giving the Russians a bloody nose, finally ceded territory with the result of 80 odd years of wealthy independance. Till now that is and Putin’s stupid blunder.
Disagree John, one of Putin’s reasons for invading Ukraine was his perception of the creeping influence of NATO. In the event his actions have had the reverse effect of what he intended as previously neutral Scandinavian nations have been spooked into joining NATO. Unfortunately he’s now too far in to be able to willingly back down without massive loss of face and if one follows his (seriously flawed reasoning) the only way to resolve NATO ‘creep’ would be to attack more countries - which would be insane. So if the West continues to provide adequate military support, Putin will be in a bit of a pickle (as they used to say in Lancashire)
Once again I’m probably expecting too much from our leaders, but did none of them think that such a rapid expansion of NATO would eventually trigger a reaction? The bloody US in particular, nothing is thought through. No less than Wall St., the whole Country is run quarter by quarter by whatever individual happens to be in the White House. Back in the day there was an oppertunity to bring Russia into the NATO tent, but it was squandered.
Remember if the US had its way (maybe Germany too) we’d have Turkey in the EU One can appreciate why the rest of the World is getting fed up with the US deciding how things should be.
Don’t necessarily disagree with your historical accont, though think it would benefit by being balanced by the collapse of the Soviet Union and Warsaw Pact countries wanting to escape from half a century of Russian domination - they were puppet states, and now they’re not. And of course, they were not obliged to join NATO, but felt the need to be protected from future Russian actions.
However, whatever the previous narrative, today we are where we are, and I don’t believe that you nor anyone else really believes that Putin would be happy with just the bits of the Ukraine that he’s already occupied. He needs to go much further and this needs to be thwarted.
I agree again Mark. But I like to look at the future based on the past. The so called leaders that got us into this mess are not IMO the ones, or at least the continuing breed, to get us out of it. The current bunch are not any better than the last bunch. So, when the current bunch talk about Russian expansionism all of a sudden (there was nothing about that two years ago) I don’t believe them I think they are retrofitting a scenario as to why they have got us to where we are.
It’s not so much me whinging about past failures as not wating to get fooled again, as Pete Townshend would say. In fact maybe that song infected me at an early age with the contempt I have for most World “leaders”
The fact that they get it wrong all the time and never hold themselves accountable is a source of great annoyance to me. If a CEO acted like that they’d be out in jiz time, but leaders handling far more serious matters just get to muddle on. This IMO is the grave problem with democracy, accountability and measuring competence.
"Moscow has taken issue with the placement of the floating markers, used to prevent boats from straying into foreign waters, and disputed the planned locations of about half the 250 buoys, Estonia’s border guard service said.
Estonia is a member of NATO, I don’t think Putin is stupid enough to start a fight on two fronts.
Meanwhile the charismatic clown running Ukraine has, for the first time as far as I know, started calling for peace. Eighteen months and the damp squib of a much vaunted summer offensive too late.
After courageously and splendidly repelling the unwarranted attack by Russia, the immediate focus by Ukraine, and the US, should have been on peace (as I’ve been wittering on about since day one) but Ukrainian intransigence and the US gung ho approach to beat the Russkies have got us to this position. How many lives wasted and how much money poured into weapons?
Fundamentally, in terms of manpower, Russia, not the UK nor the US, won WWII in Europe. On that basis they will also win in Ukraine, unless NATO gets involved, and then we are all toast. We needed a negotiated peace eighteen months ago, we need it even more now.
Russia seems to be already, albeit covertly, extending hostilities into Europe
U.S. and allied intelligence officials are tracking an increase in low-level sabotage operations in Europe that they say are part of a Russian campaign to undermine support for Ukraine’s war effort.
The covert operations have mostly been arsons or attempted arsons targeting a wide range of sites, including a warehouse in England, a paint factory in Poland, homes in Latvia and, most oddly, an Ikea store in Lithuania.
“Russia’s strategy is one of divide and conquer,” said Ms. Kendall-Taylor, now a senior fellow at the Center for a New American Security. “Right now, it’s not a very costly strategy for Russia because we are all responding separately. That is why it is important that over time, we collectivize the response.”
“They want to take the war to Europe, but they don’t want a war with NATO,” Ms. Kendall-Taylor said. “So they are doing all these things that are short of conventional attacks.”
But David the negotiation should have been to relinquish Crimea and Donbas while integrating or at least affiliating Ukraine with Nato. What was gone was gone, the focus should have been on a backstop and future containment.
Instead Zelensky backed by arrogant Ukrainian politicians wanted to win it all back. The US stoked the fire instead of trying to calm things down and now, having marched Ukraine to the top of the hill, may well do a runner. Just like they’ve done, to the best of my knowledge, in every one of their international “adventures” since Korea.
If the U.S. and its allies were to stop supporting Ukraine and it lost the war, China’s biggest partner would come out on top. The West would not look as strong or united as it once was. Knowing this, China might become more aggressive in its territorial claims in Taiwan, the South China Sea and elsewhere.