The difficulty is saying exactly what would happen if society did completely break down - barter might be much more important for example, certainly early on.
Yes, wealthy individuals can afford private armies (as they did throughout history) - but they need feeding, equipping etc and mercenaries’ loyalty might not last if their stomachs are empty (who was it that said society is only three meals away from anarchy?).
Obviously I’m hoping we avoid a doomsday scenario - but when we have a very small number of extremely wealthy, self interested and self centred individuals who’s actions tend only to exacerbate the situation I’m not 100% sure that we will.
Serious question for you Corona , when do you think the last petrol and diesel for cars/vans/trucks will be produced in quantity, when will ICE vehicles final be off the roads and be replaced by EV’s, a rough date.
The difficulty is saying exactly what would happen if society did completely break down - barter might be much more important for example, certainly early on.
In your Mad Max scenario there will only be oil to run ICE vehicles until the refined stocks run out. The refineries will cease to function without the massive amount of electricity currently supplied to them by large grids (apart from those in suitable climates with enough space for their own solar farms, as has happened in Texas).
In other words, the clever survivors will have EVs that can be charged from off-grid power, be it wind, solar, hydro or all three.
I will also mention the lower maintenance demands of EVs - very important once getting spares becomes impossible.
There’s a gap in the market here and in the trade press I’ve seen a few snippets that China has companies that sound to be getting into replacement ‘compatible’ batteries.
The absolute worst case is held to be a 70m rise in sea level, so there will be quite a lot of dry land left. Admittedly that means I will have two sea front properties
Yep, think you a right but not for domestic vehicles and probably not for lorries either, very large specialist machines maybe. Legislation will simply stop domestic ICE transport.
