It’ll all be over by Christmas. Just wondering how stock levels are, need some for the holiday in France.
I wish there was a way to be off this planet until Christmas. This is already the most disruptive oil shock in history. We just haven’t felt much of it yet. The last oil from the ME arrives in the EU on April 10th.
They have allowed Spain to ship oil through the straits.
Stolen from a recent post on X:
“The Trapped Animal
Let me tell you what happens when a narcissist with nuclear codes realizes he has lost.
He does not reflect. He does not adjust. He bites everyone within reach.
Before February 28th, Iran was sanctioned, isolated, and weak. The Strait was open. Oil flowed. The economy was functioning. The world was not perfect, but it was not on fire. Then Donald Trump, on impulse, without consulting allies, without a plan, without congressional authorization, assassinated a head of state and launched a war he was certain would be over in a week.
It was not over in a week. It is not over in a month. And now every number in his life is collapsing: 33% approval, the lowest of his presidency, only 29% support for the war, his own base abandoning him, 36 House Republicans already heading for the exits. He is the least popular wartime president in modern American history and the war is not even over.
And what is coming is the bill for everything he broke.
$5.2 trillion gone from the markets. Brent at $116. Consumer confidence below 2008. Bond market posting its worst outflows since the pandemic. Treasury auctions at their weakest demand since 2024. $52 billion fleeing Asia. Fertilizer chains broken. Famine approaching. Fourteen Americans dead. The Strait still closed. Iran still standing. And now he is willing to walk away with the Strait still shut, meaning the one stated reason for the war was a lie or a failure, and either way the dead are still dead and the money is still gone.
So what does a trapped animal do? He lashes out. Not at the enemy. At the friends.
This morning, from his phone, he told Britain to buy American oil and go fight for the Strait themselves. The Strait he closed. The crisis he created. He told them “the U.S.A. won’t be there to help you anymore.” He threatened France because they would not let weapons fly over their territory for a war they were never consulted about. “The U.S.A. will REMEMBER,” he wrote, threatening the nation that gave America the Statue of Liberty.
He cannot beat Iran. So he beats up on NATO. He cannot reopen Hormuz. So he tells allies to “just TAKE IT,” something he could not do with three carrier strike groups in 28 days. He cannot lower gas prices. So he tries to sell American oil to the countries whose supply he cut off. The arsonist selling fire insurance.
And through all of it, while the world burns and the numbers collapse, his circle trades. Every fake peace announcement a buy signal. Every escalation a sell signal. The Financial Times documented it. Bloomberg confirmed it. A US Senator called it mind-blowing corruption. The war failed for America. It succeeded for the people close enough to the Situation Room to know what comes next.
That is what this is. A man who broke the world because he wanted to feel powerful, lost control of everything he touched, watched his numbers collapse, and is now thrashing at every ally within reach because he cannot admit what everyone else already knows: he got this catastrophically, irreversibly, historically wrong.
And the people who will pay for it, as always, are everyone except him.”
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And we thought our only enemy was in the East. 
China suddenly seems quite friendly, shame about Putin, otherwise Russia would too. 
The quote from X Just about sums it up doesn’t it.
Except for failing to mention Netanyahu’s role in it.
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Sounds on the money - break everything, expect to be able to walk away and leave others to pick up the pieces.
Just in case there is any doubt quite a lot of people said he would be a terrible president when he was originally elected in 2016 and here he is proving us all 100% right.
And the Americans having been taking it ever since
I did wonder if some were to assassinate Trump, Netanyahu and Putin, would they win the Nobel Peace Prize?
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Probably not, but worth asking…!
I think I’m going to be sick…
Look what Eric Trump is posting…about his dad’s Presidential Library…!
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I can’t get on to X but I’ve seen mock ups. The building looks tasteless hideous and is likely to be a blot on the landscape of Miami.
It’s just appeared on YouTube…
Feels quite appropriate really.
FIxed that for you.
It seems like it was hard for Starmer to refuse to allow the UK to be used as a staging post for Iran attacks. I actually agree that it must have been virtually impossible given the number of US bases in the UK.
Do we think it’s time to get all the US bases out asap? Or might asking them to leave and now please, risk provoking when there could be some hope the US will return to something like normal?
Or has the land these bases are on got years of lease to run so are there legal impediments?
Or are there diplomatic agrerments in place that guarantee the presence of US bases for years to come?
I’d like them out, but just don’t know how practicsl this is or even if it’s a good idea ??
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https://x.com/BrentTerhune/status/2039090415576444933
This is sarcasm, btw. He is a comedian who goes off on MAGA..
Absolutely not. We have to remember that Trump will be gone in 2028 which should lead to some form of normality, also bear in mind without the US it’s hard to see NATO surviving long term.
Just another step countries should have taken so as not to be put in awkward positions by barmy leaders.
No matter who the next president is, Trump has just highlighted why Europe needs less not more globalisation.
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