Damned COVID Statistics

Sorry Mark, who is “she”? and what job are we talking about? Aplogies if it’s further up in the yopic and I missed it…

https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2021/aug/02/diesel-car-suits-me-better-than-electric-says-pms-climate-spokesperson

Bet Allegra Stratton doesn’t drive an Allegro…

And Rees-Mogg could christen the next sprog Super Seven -and later , number nine could be Mogg Plus 8? (these suggestions are primarily for J R-M and the amusement of M. John Scully).

no, perhaps not but I often wonder about how parents arrive at names, such like “Mercedes” :rofl:

In the old (pre-auto )days Mercedes was quite popular in Spain and Latin America and not the least bit blingy, whereas nowadays it’s more akin to Chardonnay and other such aspirational names.

We don’t have children, so have never had to worry about that sort of thing, but throughout my life I’ve kept a mental file of beautiful and silly names I’ve encountered - at primary school a couple of Ukrainians whose surname was ‘Cyan’ - one of the most beautiful shades of blue, but in the same class was another Ukrainian whose surname was Duda, pronounced ‘doodah’. According to Google, I now know that it originally meant someone who played the (presumably Ukrainian) bagpipes badly - don’t know of a Scottish equivalent but would be happy to learn of one.

Amazing how easily one can drift off the subject of the thread, but that’s also part of the charm of reverie (rather than the wanderings of an elderly mind).

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I’m now ashamed to confess that when my daughter was born, Mercedes was (briefly) on the shortlist. :see_no_evil::rofl:

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But you chose McLaren instead?

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Yeah…:rofl::rofl::rofl:

Only after discarding ‘Portia’ :wink:

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HM Government of Gibraltar

YerfestteSeStporndcsansaedoy Srat e15Sa:istng36d ·

Recoveries shows “-1” as an individual was marked as recovered by mistake a few days ago.

There are 30 new positive cases in Gibraltar today:

21 vaccinated individuals

  1. Vaccinated resident aged 35-40

  2. Vaccinated resident aged 40-45

  3. Vaccinated resident aged 30-35

  4. Vaccinated resident aged 25-30

  5. Vaccinated resident aged 55-60

  6. Vaccinated resident aged 30-35

  7. Vaccinated resident aged 50-55

  8. Vaccinated resident aged 65-70

  9. Vaccinated resident aged 70-75

  10. Vaccinated resident aged 85-90

  11. Vaccinated resident aged 20-25

  12. Vaccinated resident aged 45-50

  13. Vaccinated resident aged 35-40

  14. Vaccinated resident aged 30-35

  15. Vaccinated resident aged 50-55

  16. Vaccinated resident aged 65-70

  17. Vaccinated resident aged 30-35

  18. Vaccinated resident aged 85-90

  19. Vaccinated resident aged 70-75

  20. Vaccinated visitor aged 45-50

  21. Vaccinated visitor aged 70-75

9 unvaccinated individuals

  1. Unvaccinated resident aged 35-40

  2. Unvaccinated resident aged 60-65

  3. Unvaccinated resident aged 5-10

  4. Unvaccinated resident aged 40-45

  5. Unvaccinated resident aged 10-15

  6. Unvaccinated resident aged 15-20

  7. Unvaccinated resident aged 15-20

  8. Unvaccinated visitor aged 25-30

  9. Unvaccinated visitor aged 50-55

But even I get the analogy.
It used to be in a Morgan when changing gear you would say, slowly, I have a Moss Box.

The figures are deceptive.
This called the base rate fallacy - you can’t just compare numbers of a specific condition (vacc or no vacc) without considering the total number in each of the two groups. This list shows approx twice, in one day, as many +ve cases in the vaccinated as in the unvaccinated. But there are many, many more people in the vaccinated category, so the actual proportion of vaccinated testing +ve is very small. In fact, due to the overwhelming number vaccinated, it is going to be much lower than the proportion of unvaccinated testing +ve.

In addition :
Au terme d’une campagne de vaccination éclair, Gibraltar (34 000 habitants) est devenue la première nation au monde à avoir complètement vacciné sa population adulte. And in fact "It was not yet immediately clear whether every adult in Gibraltar has received both doses or just one”.

And we also know that the various vaccines are effective in reducing and even preventing symptoms in fully vaccinated people. And they reduce the severity of illness, but they don’t completely prevent infection. So a vaccinated person can be a potential case and won’t know for sure unless they have symptoms and/or a test.

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The figures are not of my doing…
If the government can’t put out real stats… whom do we take our data from?

supposedly, all Gibraltarians are jabbed… even an excess of somewhere near 6000 extras if you read the data of jabs out and actual population?
it’s all in the data… nothing else can be believed??

Umm… stop testing… or make it £100 per test… watch the reported “cases” drop

when did you first go to a doctor and ask for a full blood work up, total head to toe examination, because you just felt like it?
well all the idiots… and yes, i call them idiots. encountered a healthy woman, double shots… going for tests every week??

back in the days of real illness… you felt like crap and stayed home
feeling even more like crap, one would visit the doc for a check up and a pill.
even deeper in the do,do… one would call the doc… maybe get carted off to hospital

now#
go for a test… get a +ve result… no pills, no comfort… just sod off and keep yer nut down for 10 days…

a real illness is Evidence Based Medicine…
you feel like crap, you look like crap… you’re probably not well.

all this nonsense of standing in a line to have a test… then wondering what to do with yourself for 10 days when you test +ve
worse, if you’re pinged coz the guy on the other side of a partition wall had the lurgy or false +ve 9 days ago

if you have a problem with the stats from the gov of Gib, maybe you should ask the same question of any “data” constantly force fed thru the media?

Just to head you off at the pass
i am not against any vaccine… i’ve had the lot, and some on top…
my jury is still out on these experimental jabs… i can wait until … got to really… if they think they’re going to shoot up another 20,000,000 in any short time frame…
it will be March before they get near me…
i will be last to say yes… i’ll wait for the real virus to hit those shot up with a spike and see who’s left standing…

unfortunately, i can’t tell whom around me are jabbed and fully loaded with virus… super spreaders thinking they’re the saviours of the world

what is really galling about all this c19 crap…
THERE IS NOT ONE PHARMA LOOKING AT A CURE!!!
Not one word is allowed about any possible “Treatment”… it is forbidden, censored, ridiculed…
the vaccine is the only hope for humanity???
No debate allowed, no questions can be asked of anyone…
just take the shots

Ever asked yourself… WHY??
Why are there no “known” trials, tests, studies of possible treatments?
There is a total press blackout, social media plaster their “Warning, this item is about convid”…
non stop harassment… not stop take the shot…

Try wearing a sceptics hat for a minute…
The level of pushing these jabs is beyond anything ever seen for any medical situation
YES, i know it’s a “pandemic”… but the vaccines do not stop you catching it, you can be ill, you can spread it…
last year it was a quiet summer… as it s a winter thing…
not any longer… those middle aged and earlier were safe this time last year
now, in “summer”… [only by sidereal time, not the weather]… the younger are now those at risk and dropping like flies… in “summer”…

If Gibraltar, with a tiny population can’t get their stats right every day
who do you trust?

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Most regular posters on SF are vaccinated, so why are you even bothering to proselytize this pseudo-science?

When I look at the constuency of anti-vaxers I see an unstable coallition of ultra left, ultra right , so-called libertarians and a few loony ultra Christians and QUANON believers who think the Earth’s only 5000 years old (and flat) or that Hilary Clinton eats babies in a NYC pizza parlour!

Well all that may seem very plausible to some, but one has to wonder about their capacity for reasoned analysis and evaluation of the relative reliability of information resources.

Can’t believe how politely I put that - a ‘crock of shite’ is far more honest!

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and that Donald Trump will be returned as POTUS in mid August :roll_eyes: :rofl:

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probably also that I’ll win the Lottery and decide to emigrate from SW France to Russia ?

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and… as if you might need it…

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If not happily married would happily accept that as proof (albeit obviously only after rigorous investigation).

Question - at what point does irony cross over into I wish I hadn’t said/written that ?

You only see what suits you…

who are you to call anyone “anti vaxxers”
ask each and every one of them why they have not gone for the jabs
then you will be properly informed
good luck asking 20,000,000 or more

just because you think those “regular” posters are actually properly informed, or just bigots and biased to their little point of view

until you have all their and my views
and you know nothing of me, what i do or do not know…

i see you are a doctor
of what?

i have zero alignment to any political view, position or looney tin hatters, or the other bollox you state
but it’s none of your business anyway

good luck asking the 20,000,000 or more…
come back to me when you have their answers
until then
SF give us the opportunity to give voice to our thoughts

is that not what “freedom” is about
so my freedom is not jab for me thank you… until i am sure i will not suffer like i do with penicillin
as a doctor, can you, will you guarantee i will not have the horrendous reactions i have with cillins?

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Meet some of the 20,000,000 you’re going to ask opinions of about why they feel so strongly about the freedom pass and being forced to take a stab to have a pint and a dinner in a resto
https://www.facebook.com/lepeupleunifr/videos/998117790755298

just normal folk, name their occupations, their life styles… etc…
These people made the effort to be somewhere this morning at 10h00 to show their contempt for a threat to the freedom of us all…
where were you… ah yes, Sf… with the other 6 regulars and their twisted perspective on everything covid

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Isn’t this thread becoming a bit déjà vu?

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I take it that you’re not keen on being vaccinated then @Bob_williams ? You could probably have said that in one sentence rather than all the shit I’ve just read

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